This betting preview for the 2019-2020 English Premier League season is dedicated to Burnley.
I can’t say I cared too much about the club before the previous campaign, but the way everyone from the board to the supporters handled a dire situation deserves admiration.
I explain why a bit later when I share my thoughts on the last season as a whole.
This will be the springboard to the expectations for the summer and the new campaign.
I will wrap everything up by sharing my predictions and analyzing the most relevant betting odds of the top rated online soccer betting sites.
The ultimate target is to find some good betting picks.
Burnley 2018-19 Season Review
Burnley overachieved significantly in 2017-2018, finishing seventh, and earned a place in the Europa League qualifiers. I don’t think the club was ready for this step for a number of reasons.
The first one is that the squad simply didn’t have enough depth. Playing twice a week can be devastating for any team of Burnley’s size. We’ve seen proof of that in the past when otherwise solid sides struggle badly in the EPL because of their games in Europe.
The second issue with the Europa League is that the games there start in July. That’s a couple of weeks before the beginning of the English Premier League season.
In order to cope, Burnley had to both reduce the rest of the players and rush the preparation for the new season. On top of everything else, the club didn’t invest enough money in the summer.
It’s no wonder that Burnley was one of the worst in the English Premier League up to December or so. The solid defense and discipline from the previous campaign were nowhere to be found. Burnley registered only three wins in the first 19 games of the season, despite going out early in the Europa League.
That was enough for the 19th place in the EPL, and the club looked doomed. You would often see the board of such teams sack the manager in a desperate attempt to change something.
The supporters are usually nervous as well, and they start looking for scapegoats, scrutinizing everyone from the players to executives.
That wasn’t the case with Burnley, and it was refreshing to see. The club remained united, and everyone stood firmly behind the manager Sean Dyche and his players.
It was an admirable development, and I’m glad that it worked well for Burnley. A streak of eight games without a defeat at the end of 2018 and beginning of 2019 laid the groundwork for their survival.
The side looked much more like the previous season. The defense was strong, and the whole team worked hard.
The campaign finale was rather inconsistent, but Burnley did acquire 40 points and finished in the 15th position. I would say that was a satisfying performance, considering the start and the impact of the Europa League.
I hope that more clubs follow the example of Burnley and stay calm when the going gets tough. Many managers deserve more respect and time to do their job properly.
I should probably mention the domestic cups so that the picture is complete. Burnley got dumped early in both of them, so there’s nothing special to talk about there.
The overall impression is that this was a team that almost got relegated because of the Europa League. The squad is too short for fighting on a couple of fronts, and the English Premier League should be Burnley’s top priority.
Fortunately, that’s what the next season will be like.
What Burnley Needs This Summer
The most important thing about Burnley is that the club won’t play in the Europa League this summer. That alone should make a huge difference in the performance and the overall preparation.
However, I don’t think Burnley can afford a summer like the last one when it comes to transfers. The club needs to buy some players and improve the squad depth.
Sean Dyche has done excellent work with the group he had in the past two seasons, but the English Premier League is developing.
A lot of the smaller clubs are using the money from TV rights to improve. We’ve seen many of them attract quality players from all over the globe. If Burnley doesn’t try to do the same, it will be left behind.
It’s good that the board stood behind Sean Dyche when the results were bad. However, the club will eventually go down if there are no investments in the squad.
As it stands, Burnley doesn’t have stars that could be lured by other teams. The positive from that is that Dyche will most likely keep the core of the squad. The negative is that the side will have to find cash for new players on its own and can’t rely on outgoing transfers.
With that in mind, Burnley doesn’t really need to invest large sums. The club has a strong basis, especially at the back. The lack of creativity up front is the biggest issue.
Ashley Barnes and Chris Wood did well in the previous season, but they will need more support in the next one. A creative midfielder and a winger that can both score and provide would certainly boost Burnley’s performance.
If the club fails to sign at least a couple of guys that could lift the quality of the team and add some depth, it might struggle in 2019-2020.
Burnley Betting Odds for 2019-2020
Let’s move on to the potential betting odds related to Burnley’s season.
The only betting market that makes some sense is related to the relegation battle, as I don’t see how Burnley will finish in the top half of the English Premier League table.
Popular online bookmaker 888sport offers the price of 1.33 for the club to stay in the EPL. On the surface, the odds are rather low and unappealing. On the other hand, Burnley was capable of surviving in an extremely tough year that included the Europa League participation.
Even if the team doesn’t strengthen in the summer, it should be able to match the result from the previous campaign. If it does, something like 45-50 points becomes a realistic target.
I don’t think that Burnley will be involved in the relegation scrap, so the price of 1.33 actually is decent. If you can be patient enough to wait for months for a wager on such odds, it’s worth a shot.
Other Domestic Competitions
Burnley is not a cup team, as it simply doesn’t have the squad depth to compete on more than one front. All English Premier League sides rotate, so you can’t expect much from a team that simply doesn’t have the numbers to field a competitive starting eleven in such circumstances.
The prices for Burnley to win the FA Cup and the League Cup are about 60 or even more. While some might be tempted, I would advise against that.
I certainly wish Burnley and Sean Dyche good luck. This is one of the few clubs that has been doing a solid job in the EPL without splashing the cash. Unfortunately, Burnley will eventually have to invest more in the squad, or it will go down.
I don’t think this could happen in 2019-2020, but the near future might be in jeopardy.
Do you agree with my predictions for Burnley, or do you have something else to say? Feel free to share your opinion in the comments below.
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